Friday 24 February 2023 I believe investors are overconfident in their thinking that inflation is now under control and hence we are likely to see an easing of rates in the next year. If they turn out to be wrong, we may well see markets reverse the gains they have made by the middle ofContinue reading “Investors appear to be overconfident that inflation will subside and a recession be avoided”
Tag Archives: Inflation
The biggest threat to the financial system: UST Liquidity
Thursday 29 December 2022 This article draws on insights from the FT Film “Fractured markets: the big threats to the financial system“ Summary There are concerns that a policy mistake could lead to a a sell off in the currently illiquid, US Treasury market, similar to that seen in British Gilts in September 2022. WereContinue reading “The biggest threat to the financial system: UST Liquidity”